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Relatório Semanal Mercado de café no Brasil – 16 a 20 de agosto de 2021

por ago 20, 2021Relatório de mercado86 Comentários

Siga e ouça no spotify! Novos episódios aos sábados pela manhã.

KCNY e câmbio
Em uma semana de oscilações entre fundamentos altistas e fatores macroeconômicos de baixa, o contrato C dezembro/21 fechou a semana a 181.50 USC/lb, uma variação semanal negativa de 425 pontos.

  • O mercado continuou sustentado pela preocupação com a oferta mundial, acompanhando o clima pouco favorável no Brasil e em outros países produtores. A probabilidade de ocorrer La Niña no fim segundo semestre aumentou para 70%, fenômeno preocupante para as safras da Ásia e América Central;
  • Ainda estão sendo feitas avaliações dos danos das geadas de julho nos cafezais brasileiros e diferentes estimativas têm sido divulgadas, mas não há dúvidas sobre o grande impacto na produção de 2022;
  • Do lado baixista, o avanço da variante Delta preocupa em relação às aberturas globais e demanda, além do aumento dos estoques GCA de café verde dos EUA, que subiu em 300 mil sacas para 6,017 milhões de sacas no final de julho, o maior volume desde outubro desde o ano passado;
  • Também houve forte desvalorização do real e alta do dólar, que subiu para R$5,47, pressionando os preços das commodities, incluindo o café;
  • Em um mercado mais averso a riscos, a crise de confiança no Brasil é um gatilho para a saída de capital do país. A disparada da inflação nos últimos meses, o parcelamento de precatórios e criação de Bolsa Brasil colocam em risco o teto de gastos do Brasil e a dívida pública.

Dezembro/21: Min: 178.10 | Max: 189.25 | Last: 181.50 USC/lb
BRL/USD: Mín: 5,2292| Máx: 5.4741 | Last: 5.4071
*Dados até a finalização deste relatório 


CLIMA

  • Houve chuvas pouco significativas no início da semana na Zona da Mata e algumas áreas do sul de MInas;
  • Uma grande massa de ar seco predomina sobre o Brasil, com alerta de baixa umidade do ar, ausência de chuvas e sol forte;
  • De acordo com o Clima Tempo, temperaturas de 35°C a 38°C são esperadas em áreas do Sudeste, com a ausência de massa de ar polar e maior insolação natural de agosto;
  • Alguns modelos climáticos têm apontado retorno de chuvas no final da próxima semana e início de setembro nas principais regiões de arábica, mas os volumes ainda precisam ser confirmados com o tempo. Neste período grande parte das lavouras no Brasil já terão finalizado ou estarão caminhando pro fim da colheita 2021/2022;
  • Bons volume de chuvas em setembro e outubro são primordiais para a florada e condições da lavoura para a safra 2022/2023.

MERCADO DOMÉSTICO e FOB

  • Em mais uma semana de baixa liquidez, os negócios foram pouco movimentados no mercado interno e externo;
  • Muita procura por café Rio Minas 17/18 e 15/16, entretanto, os negócios não avançam, seja pela oferta muito escassa ou o grande descompasso entre preço de oferta do mercado interno e de demanda dos importadores;
  • Os vendedores no mercado interno estão extremamente firmes nos preços, travando as oportunidades de negócios casados com o exterior;
  • Arábica bica bebida dura tipo 6/7 em torno de R$1000-R$1070, variando entre regiões;
  • Há poucos vendedores de café ativos no mercado interno, com os produtores concentrados nas entregas futuras e avaliando os impactos climáticos nas lavouras;
  • A colheita no Brasil caminha para o final, com cerca de 95% ja colhido na Zona da Mata e 80-85% no Sul de MInas e Cerrado,

LOGÍSTICA
Os desafios no Brasil continuam refletindo a situação mundial de caos logístico, que já afeta todos os mercados.

  • Não temos encontrado nenhum contêiner padrão alimento com a MSC nas últimas semanas;
  • A falta de contêineres também é crítica com a Maersk e Hapag Lloyd para cumprir todos os embarques contratados com estes armadores;
  • Demais armadores também apresentam baixo estoque de equipamentos;
  • Seguem frequentes as muitas rolagens de carga, grande dificuldade em encontrar espaço nos navios, atraso na liberação de cargas e pre stacking, gerando atrasos nos embarques de café;
  • Alguns analistas apontam que a situação vai persistir e há risco de piora nos próximos meses, até 2022, quando os fluxos globais devem começar a normalizar;
  • Novas reservas:
    • Europa: já fechado para novas rotas em navios de setembro/21. Alguns destinos já estão fechados para novas reservas;
    • USA: conseguimos nesta semana algumas reservas de espaço para final de setembro, outubro e até em novembro/21. Hoje espaço em setembro/21 já não é mais possível, apenas de outubro em diante;
    • Japão: disponibilidade apenas para meados/final de setembro/21;

COVID-19 NO BRASIL
O Brasil passa por um momento de alívio nos hospitais, com o avanço da vacinação e consequente queda de incidência de casos, internações e taxa de mortalidade nas últimas oito semanas consecutivas. Mais de 25% da população brasileira tomou a segunda dose ou a dose única de vacinas contra a Covid.

Pessoas que receberam a primeira dose: +120 mi (56,78% da população)
Pessoas totalmente vacinadas: +53 mi (25,24% da população)
Casos: + 20.49 milhões
Mortes: 572.733 mil 

86 Comentários

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  55. Former Manchester United defender Rio Ferdinand has said the Red Devils must bring Jude Bellingham to คาสิโนออนไลน์เครดิตฟรี
    strengthen him, saying Bellingham is “good enough to play any role in the Red Devils”. Manchester United legend Rio Ferdinand has said the Red Devils should sign Borussia Dortmund midfielder Jude Bellingham. Martmund can join the army.

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  56. Currently, many people think that Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester City will be the top three teams ลอตเตอรี่
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  57. Hoffman has been heavily criticized by executives at several Premier League clubs for his approval of the Saudi-based Public Investment สล็อตแตกง่าย
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  58. Asked which defender he had the hardest to deal with, Odegaard replied: “It’s a tough choice. Of course, I had to put Sergio Ramos in that เดิมพันกีฬาออนไลน์ line. Because I had some duels with him in Spain and the other had to be Virgil van Dijk. So my answer would probably be these two, they are the ones who are extremely difficult to deal with.”

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  59. However, in this season Alexander-Arnold He has also improved his ability to create goals from open play, as he now averages 1.72 times per game since 2017-18, the season in which he started การเดิมพันกีฬา
    to hold his place in the starting line-up. come then There has never been a season where he has averaged better on this side than the current one.

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  60. Fabio Cannavaro, Italian legend Released advice to Harry Maguire, the Manchester United defender that there are still weaknesses that can be improved. If you want to elevate your footsteps higher
    “John Stones and Harry Maguire เดิมพันสล็อต have been an outstanding international centre-back duo over the past few years. Both played well with the ball and defended the goal with courage at all times,” the former Guangzhou boss told The Sun.

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  61. Fabio Cannavaro, Italian legend Released advice to Harry Maguire, the Manchester United defender that there are still weaknesses that can be improved. If you want to elevate your footsteps higher
    “John Stones and Harry Maguire have been an outstanding international centre-back duo over the past few years. Both played well with the ball and defended the goal with courage at all times,” the former Guangzhou boss told The Sun.

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  62. Manchester United spent 73 million pounds (about 3,212 million baht) to bring Sancho from Borussia Dortmund last อีสปอร์ต
    summer. But it turns out that until now, he has not been able to perform as well as when he played for the “Yellow Tigers” and it has even made him drop out of the latest England team.

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  63. Manchester United spent 73 million pounds (about 3,212 million baht) to bring Sancho from Borussia Dortmund last summer. But it turns เว็บคาสิโน
    out that until now, he has not been able to perform as well as when he played for the “Yellow Tigers” and it has even made him drop out of the latest England team.

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  64. Aguero is recuperating after suffering a heart attack. He has been advised to take a three-month break from football, while it is reported that การเดิมพันกีฬา his condition is so worrying that he may need to hang up his boots. Argentine players stand holding a large banner with a picture of Aguero celebrating a goal. to encourage him on the sign that says “We’re all by your side, Kun” was also written.

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  65. Derby County Football Club, under Wayne Rooney in the Championship, have been cut by nine points for a total of 21 so far, and are likely to be relegated to League One.

    The club were previously cut by 12 points after the club were put in custody due to the financial hardship of gluttonous spending. เดิมพันยูฟ่าเบท before being cut 9 points from the official announcement on Tuesday night, a total of 21 points already.

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  66. Alves, speaking to his team-mates in the dressing room for the first time, said: “It has been a great pleasure to be here again after I left the team. many years ago To be back here is an honor พนันกีฬา
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  67. Derby County Football Club, under Wayne Rooney in the Championship, have been cut by nine points for a total of 21 so far, and are likely to be relegated to League One.

    The club were previously คาสิโนยูฟ่าเบท cut by 12 points after the club were put in custody due to the financial hardship of gluttonous spending. before being cut 9 points from the official announcement on Tuesday night, a total of 21 points already.

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  68. Gerrard played for Liverpool for many years until he became a legend there. And in the past, it has been argued that one day he will return to พนันออนไลน์
    the team as a manager, as he has made outstanding performances in the management of Rangers, but in a few days. Before Gerrard was appointed Villa manager and on December 11 he was in line to lead the team away to Anfield.

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  69. England paved the way for the Qatar 2022 World Cup finals after beating San Marino in the final game of the group stage with a decisive 10-0 scoreline, with four of them being Harry Kane and a hat-trick.
    Before the game kicked off, Gareth Southgate’s team needed just one point to secure their place in the final, with Aaron Ramsdale เดิมพันยูฟ่าเบท making his national team debut in the first game. While Arsenal team-mate Emile Smith Rowe has made his debut for the Roaring Lions.

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  70. England paved the way for the Qatar 2022 World Cup finals after beating San Marino in the final game of the group stage with a decisive 10-0 scoreline, with four of them being Harry Kane and a hat-trick.
    Before the game kicked off, Gareth Southgate’s team needed just one point to secure their place in the final, with Aaron พนันฟุตบอลสด Ramsdale making his national team debut in the first game. While Arsenal team-mate Emile Smith Rowe has made his debut for the Roaring Lions.

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  71. However, many England fans thought the game against San Marino was useless. For example, the person who typed “Pity these San Marino players, this is a very useless game”, “The game between San Marino and England is a waste of time. It has to be held before the พนันกีฬาออนไลน์
    qualifying round. and “When I was a kid, England vs San Marino was a waste of time. super And even after so many years, we still have to play with them. useless It immediately made the tournament a joke.”

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  72. For now, Pochettino is leading Paris Saint-Germain. chase success Although the results with “PSG” may not look พนันกีฬาออนไลน์
    outstanding. But it is still an option that Manchester United want to put a lot of tactics for the team, the Argentine coach. Still obsessed with life in England and often he returned to the noble city. He also bought a house in London when he was in charge of Tottenham Hotspur for five years.

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  73. even as before The former France midfielder is said to have no intention of moving to England at all, but The Times เว็บพนัน888
    has revealed that Manchester United are approaching him to change his mind and the world. This is especially possible in football, here are four reasons Zidane might be willing to take the reins of Old Trafford.

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  75. Mbappe has always been a key cog for PSG, with 139 goals in 187 appearances in all competitions, however, he has been keen to leave for a while. And now his future with Paris is full of คาสิโนออนไลน์อันดับ1
    uncertainty. After the 22-year-old has a contract with the team until the end of this season, with Real Madrid and Liverpool being the two teams that have been linked with him the most.

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  76. The former Aston Villa striker has called on fans to show support and support for Maguire after he netted against Albania on Friday night.
    The Manchester United captain scored England’s first goal in a 5-0 victory, before defending his ear. The club seems to want to say คาสิโนยูฟ่าเบท that he doesn’t care about the critics at all.

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  77. The former Aston Villa striker has called on fans to show support and support for Maguire after he netted against Albania on Friday night.
    The Manchester United captain scored England’s first goal in a 5-0 victory, before defending his ear. The club seems to want to say เดิมพันฟุตบอล that he doesn’t care about the critics at all.

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    สล็อตโปรเกรสซีฟ: สล็อตโปรเกรสซีฟจะสร้างรางวัลแจ็คพอตจนกระทั่งผู้โชคดีจะได้สิทธิ์ แล้วจำนวนจะกลับสู่ฐาน พวกมันมาในทรงรวมทั้งต้นแบบต่างๆทุกหมวดหมู่ และก็ยังรวมทั้งลักษณะพิเศษ ดังเช่น ฟรีสปิน ตัวคูณ และก็ไวด์ แจ็คพอตมาจากเปอร์เซ็นต์ของเงินที่พนันในเกม เมื่อผู้เล่นนำเงินไปสู่แจ็คพอตแบบโปรเกรสซีฟมากเพิ่มขึ้นยอดสุทธิจะมากขึ้นกระทั่งจะมีผู้ได้รับชุดค่าผสมที่ชนะ สล็อตกลุ่มนี้สามารถจ่ายได้มากถึง 1 ล้านเหรียญ อย่างไรก็แล้วแต่ ช่องทางสำหรับในการชนะจริงมีน้อย ไม่กี่ที่สุดสล็อตโปรเกรสซีฟที่ได้รับความนิยมในอเมริกามีความเมตตากรุณาของพระผู้เป็นเจ้าแล้วก็พระผู้เป็นเจ้าฟอร์จูน
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