Relatório Semanal – Mercado de café no Brasil – 14 a 17 dez. 2020 | Atlantica
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Relatório Semanal – Mercado de café no Brasil – 14 a 17 dez. 2020

por dez 17, 2020Relatório de mercado54 Comentários

KCNY e BRL/USD
Em uma semana de elevada volatilidade, NYSE registrou apenas no primeiro dia altas acima de 400 pontos nos preços de arábica, com H1 rompendo os 125,00 usc/lb e registrando a mínima de USD/BRL 5,03, próximo da marca dos R$5,00. Ao longo da semana, o real oscilou entre 5.0094 e 5.1430. KCH1 entre 120.65 e 128.60.

Os preços refletem a preocupação da oferta de 21/22 frente as condições das lavouras brasileiras e a quebra de safra esperada no Brasil em 21/22. Ao mesmo tempo reflete a chegada das vacinas no mundo que pode levar a um aumento do consumo de café fora do lar e os estoques americanos.

Os estoques de café verde nos portos dos EUA estão há 4 meses consecutivos em ritmo de queda segundo dados da GCA, o que pode demostrar demanda aquecida de café no maior consumidor mundial. Em novembro houve queda de 328.022 sacas, restando 5,8 milhões (o menor nível em 5 anos), somando os depósitos da bolsa e os volumes mantidos por players. Os estoques certificados de NY somam 1.356.542 sacas (queda de 21.483 sacas), sendo o Brasil origem de 292.666 sacas (21,57%).

Os planos de recuperação econômica dos países ricos, estímulos fiscais e monetários nos Estados Unidos e a eleição do Biden, trouxeram sentimento de otimismo ao mercado, maior avidez dos investidores estrangeiros por emergentes e queda do dólar. Ainda, a redução das incertezas com o avanço das reformas no Brasil trouxe força ao real frente ao dólar, que chegou a ser cotado próximo dos 6 reais ao longo da pandemia e voltou a operar na casa dos R$5.

TEMPO/CLIMA
Até a próxima quarta feira 23, há previsão de pancadas de chuvas entre 50-125mm em Minas Gerais, São Paulo e Paraná. Chuvas mais fracas entre 15 e 50 mm no Espírito Santo e Bahia, que irão se intensificar entre o Natal e o Ano novo

MERCADO DOMÉSTICO E FOB
Com a chegada do fim de ano, o mercado está ainda mais calmo, tanto do lado comprador, quanto do lado vendedor. O produtor acredita em fortes altas nos preços com as expectativas de quebra da próxima safra. Os armazéns gerais estão cheios, mas com fluxo normal de operações.

LOGÍSTICA INTERNACIONAL NO BRASIL
A falta de contêineres padrão alimento e espaço em navios seguem ocorrendo. O envio antecipado de Shipping Instructions é essencial para que possamos atuar com antecedência nos bookings. A vistoria de contêineres em Depot da CMA CGM continua suspensa, portanto, seguimos não embarcando com este armador até que a vistoria seja autorizada novamente

COVID-19 NO BRASIL
Casos: 7,04 M
Mortes: 184 mil
Recuperados: 6,24 M

Vamos continuar acreditando e investindo na cultura do café!

Fiquem bem,
Equipe Atlantica Coffee

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